Barbados is still in drought conditions despite the official start of the wet (hurricane) season, with rainfall patterns continuing to fall short of what is typically expected at this time of year, according to the Barbados Meteorological Services (BMS).
The BMS said it is actively monitoring both current and projected conditions, noting that while tropical waves have passed over the island in recent weeks, they have provided only brief and limited relief to ongoing dry conditions.
Rainfall to the end of May stood at 278.4 millimetres at Charnocks, just below the 30-year average of 280.9 millimetres. However, much of that total was recorded in short bursts during January and March, when rainfall temporarily surged above normal levels before dry conditions resumed.
Vegetation stress remains visible in several parts of the island, particularly in southern and south-western areas, where prolonged dry spells have been most pronounced.
The BMS said El Niño conditions remain present across the Pacific Ocean, with a strengthening phase expected between July and August. That development is likely to keep rainfall near or below normal for much of the next several months.
Monthly projections from June through October show rainfall ranging roughly between 30 and 150 millimetres, with most periods leaning below average. The Met Service cautioned that even within a generally dry outlook, short-duration heavy rainfall events remain possible and could lead to localised flooding.
Temperatures are expected to remain above normal, though not at the record levels seen in 2023 and 2024. The agency said the combination of heat, humidity, and reduced rainfall could increase heat stress risks, particularly during warmer nights and humid spells.
Agricultural and hydrological drought warnings remain in effect for June and July, with conditions expected to ease only to drought watch levels from August through October. The Met Service said the outlook will continue to be updated monthly as conditions develop. (BMS)
